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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Michigan on Sunday for the first race at the track with the Next Gen car. How will the track race with this car? Will we see a wild race on Sunday?
Last week, Tyler Reddick won his second race of the season at Indianapolis. He's now 11th in points. Chase Elliott leads the points standings by a wide margin, as he's up 125 points on second place Ryan Blaney.
Below are my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel this week. This slate locks on 8/7/22 at 3:15 p.m. ET. If you have any questions or want to talk NASCAR, you can find me on Twitter at @juscarts.
Once you're done reading this article, be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles, rankings, and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups. You should also make sure to check out our NASCAR DFS lineup tools for the ultimate combination of DFS tools to help you win big.
Starts 3rd - DraftKings $10,500 | FanDuel $13,500
If I had to pick a race winner right now, it would be Kyle Busch.
He'll start on the second row and is behind two talented but inconsistent drivers. The Toyotas have been really fast this weekend, with all six of the Toyotas in this field starting 11th or better.
Michigan isn't Busch's best track. In fact, it's very much the opposite of that, as his average finish of 16.4 is lower than it is at pretty much any track.
But a lot of that was because he struggled here earlier in his career. Busch's last nine races at Michigan have resulted in top finishes, and he's led laps in all but two of those races. Busch keeps finding himself up front here. Can he get his first Michigan win since 2011?
Starts 22nd - DraftKings $10,000| FanDuel $12,000
Chastain has been extremely good this season. He's also been extremely aggressive.
That aggression might be a good thing at Michigan. This track is too fast for anyone to safely get payback on Chastain, but it's also a very wide race track with room for Chastain to make some aggressive moves to get around drivers.
This is the fourth race in a row that Chastain has started 18th or worse, but he's shown speed during the race. He went from 21st to the lead at Pocono before he was involved in an accident while racing for the lead late, and he went from 18th to eighth at Loudon.
The closest comparable track to Michigan is Fontana, and Chastain had issues there are finished 29th. But his Trackhouse teammate Daniel Suarez finished fourth in that race, so I trust this team to figure something out on Sunday.
Starts 30th - DraftKings $8,200 | FanDuel $8,800
It's been a weird year for Alex Bowman, who has now finished outside of the top 10 in eight consecutive races, with four finishes of 30th or worse in that span.
But while Bowman is really struggling to finish races, he's still a Hendrick driver starting 30th. You can't ignore the place differential upside there, even if that upside isn't as safe as you might want it to be.
This isn't a great track for Bowman either, as he's had just two top 10s here in Cup, with both finishes being 10ths. Still...Hendrick driver starting 30th. I'll just repeat that, put him in my lineups, and hope for the best.
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Starts 1st - DraftKings $7,400 | FanDuel $7,800
It's definitely risky to play Bubba Wallace. He's way too inconsistent for you to get guaranteed production from him off the pole. He could lose the lead pretty quickly to Christopher Bell or Kyle Busch.
But Michigan has been a really good track for Wallace in the past. He only has one top 10 here in Cup, but he had top 10s in two of his three Xfinity starts here, and in 2017, he jumped into a Truck Series race here and won, leading 11 laps. In 2014, he led 48 laps in the Truck Series race at the track, but finished 11th.
Wallace has also been on a hot streak, with three consecutive top 10s, including a pair of top fives. That he's done that at different track types suggests this isn't just a fluky run. 23XI is turning a corner. Wallace should be in contention for the win on Sunday.
Starts 33rd - DraftKings $6,900 | FanDuel $7,000
Michigan has been a solid track for Brad Keselowski. He's never won here, but he has seven top fives and an average finish of 12.5.
Michigan also used to be a place where Roush Racing was really good. There was a stretch where it seemed like a Roush driver was winning every year.
But Roush hasn't won here since 2013 with Greg Biffle. And Brad K has just three top 10s all season, with an average finish of 19.2.
But hey—that's why he's so cheap in fantasy, right? Keselowski can record a finish around 20th, which would give him +13 in place differential. Roush doesn't have to be good. Keselowski doesn't have to be good. They just need to be okay on Sunday to score a solid fantasy score.
Starts 31st - DraftKings $6,400 | FanDuel $5,500
I think there's a lot of value in Austin Hill on this slate.
This is the first start he's made in the Cup Series, but he's got a lot of experience from running in Xfinity this year and running in the Truck Series over the last few years.
He's also in an RCR car. Childress has shown some good speed this year, with Tyler Reddick winning a pair of races in one of their cars.
Hill finished fifth on Saturday in the Xfinity Series race here.
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